Thursday, December 29, 2016
Of Class, Poverty and Wealth
Nantucket
Right now $10 to $15 per hour is a common wage, but it is hardly sufficient for a family. After taxes, the worker brings home about $1,900 per month. Mom works at the neighborhood restaurant, she makes about $1,200 per month after taxes, while they raise three children. After they pay their bills, there is little money leftover. They are working for poverty wages. A living wage is $15 per hour. It's hard to get ahead, even with both incomes, $3,100 take home per month isn't much for a family of five.
Anytime people in poverty do get some money, it is hard for them to hold onto it. They are so used to spending every paycheck. But if perhaps they get a settlement like $50,000 from a wrongful injury lawsuit, they quickly find ways to spend the money. I know one person who started spending a promised $15,000 back pay settlement before he even got the money, he had already racked up $6,000 on his credit cards, buying stuff like a television, stereo, speakers and movies and CDs. When the $15,000 arrived, he paid off his credit card, and then quickly spent the remaining $9,000. It was all gone within a few months.
Institutional poverty is still with us in America. Three million slaves became "free" after the Emancipation Proclamation, but were kept in shackles through laws designed to keep them in prison, and separated from whites. Plessy vs. Ferguson in 1896 upheld the racial segregation laws for public facilities under the doctrine of "separate but equal." It was only in 1954 that Brown vs Board of Education overturned the separate but equal clause. So think about it. Blacks didn't have wealth that was passed down from generation to generation. Grandpa was poor, Dad was poor and Son is going to be poor too. It's only been in the last 50 or 60 years that blacks have been able to build up wealth and pass it down to their children.
Meanwhile there are multiple thousands of white families who have had generations of wealth passed down to them. A good example is the Forbes family. John Murray Forbes was so wealthy in 1850 that he was able to buy an island in Cape Cod. That island, Naushon, is still in the Forbes family, it's probably worth billions of dollars. It's a private island in trust for the benefit of the Forbes family and its heirs. So the Forbes family has enjoyed generations of wealth that goes back over 150 years.
Wealth is so prized in America that anyone with that sort of pedigree can get into the best schools and land the best jobs and make the most money. No wonder Goldman Sachs is full of rich kids who went to Harvard.
Escaping poverty
Oprah Winfrey once tried an experiment to help the poor. Oprah said she would finance a program to move 100 families out of public housing, off public aid and into better lives, but only five families participated in the program. The experiment taught her some lessons. "At its most basic, the lesson of Families for a Better Life may be that the lives of the poor are so chaotic and infused with a 'mind frame of entitlement' that they defy even programs specifically designed to overcome these obstacles," The Chicago Tribune reported.
The crisis, paycheck-to-paycheck lifestyle is a soap opera that requires constant attention; the car breaks down, Mom suffers from back problems from standing all night at the bar, Dad is a Manic Depressive Alcoholic, he should be taking his medication and not drinking so much. A teen-age son is in trouble for skipping school and smoking pot. Mom flirts with another Man at the bar, Dad is jealous. They drink late into the night, fighting and yelling, scaring the children, who wonder if Dad is going to move out. Talk about a house of pain.
Divorce is another cause of poverty. Two incomes in one household are better than one income; two working together can do great things, but divide the family into two houses, you have twice the utility bills, twice the rent, twice the expenses of maintaining two homes.
How do you rise above that? How does one break free from the chaos? Some say religion is the answer, others say the answer is found in the 12 Step AA or NA program. God and money Evangelist Dave Ramsey has programs designed to help people pay down debt and get ahead financially. He talks about people being "slaves" to bankers, always having to pay debts to the banks. Stop being a slave, he says, pay off your debts and free yourselves from entrapment.
Financial advisors will tell you to create a budget that not only pays your bills, but also sets aside money for emergency savings and retirement. All of this advice is readily available, even free on the Internet. There are thousands of self-help books like "Think and Grow Rich" by Napoleon Hill.
My advisor in college said, "Get your social life in order, so you can focus on your profession." That was great advice.
I like rags-to riches-stories. GirlBoss is one of my favorites. Sophia Amoruso was a punk rocker who lived off the grid after high school, she had a job that paid poverty wages, while pursuing her fashion hobby, buying on the cheap retro outfits at estate sales and then reselling them on eBay. Her Nasty Gal business took off. For her Web site, she used her photographic eye to create images that were attractive to young girls. Customers paid a premium for her retro-looking clothes. Because Sophia lived off the grid for so long, she struggled to get credit. At first, banks didn't want to loan her money. So she paid for everything in cash. Eventually she created her own brand of clothing, operating out of a big warehouse in Los Angeles, the business grew to $100 million. A business like this has an 8% to 10% margin, netting about $10 million annually.
More close to home, I know someone who grew up in a small town in the Midwest. His parents were poor, but honest and hard-working. This person, Danny (a real person but I am changing his name to keep him anonymous) entered the military after high school. He married well. His wife encouraged him to continue his education, earn a bachelor's degree and complete officer training school. They raised three children. Danny moved up the ranks in the military. After 24 years, he retired from the military with a pension paying $75,000 annually. He took two years off, then got a similar job as a civilian, making $75,000 annually. So now he makes $150,000 annually. Plus his wife works, making about $30,000 annually. They paid off their debts and plan to retire in a few years. A couple of reasons why Danny was successful: He stayed married, he and his wife worked hard to raise their children. Danny surrounded himself with good mentors. He particularly was fond of his wife's grandfather, who served 20 years in the military, got a pension and then started working again in banking for another 20 years. This grandfather mentored Danny. And Danny listened and applied the knowledge given to him. Danny believes the breakdown of the family is the root of poverty and misery. There is some truth to this.
I know a young talented man who could go far in life, but he is struggling post high school, trying to figure out how to get ahead. He does not want to go to the University of Kansas or Kansas State University because he says he can't afford it. His parents did not go to college. This person, I shall call him Johnny, does not want to work in restaurants because the pay is low and the work is hard. He wants to be a graphic artist. Most employers hire graphic designers with college degrees. I suggested my friend work any job that supplies steady income, save up $1,000 while living at home with your parents. Open a studio in NOTO Arts District for $300 per month, or open a studio in your home. Work part-time at the studio, focusing on solving client's graphic problems. Clients will tell you what THEY want, you do what they want, make them happy, and you will grow your business. Work two jobs, work all the time, when not working the regular paying job, work on the design job. But Johnny didn't seem interested in that plan. He seems to be floundering.
With any business idea, find out if there is a market for your services or product. Do a market survey. Find the biggest problems and solve them. Entrepreneurs get paid well for solving problems.
I worked two jobs for much of my life. One summer in college I had three jobs, as a Daily Nebraskan reporter, a telemarketer and as a line cook at Wendy's. And I took classes in between these jobs. When I finally got a full-time job as reporter at a daily newspaper, I started working on a second job as an investor. Charles Armstrong, an Edward Jones representative from Grand Island, Neb., told me to read everything I could get my hands on about investing. I did. In my spare time, I read Money magazine, Value-Line, and books about Warren Buffett. I opened a brokerage account with $1,000 and started buying stocks. I worked these two jobs for about 20 years before I finally was able to give up the 9-to-5 job and work on my own, operating my own investment portfolio and freelance business from home.
Conclusion
The rags to riches story is a story of hard work, persistence and dedication. It is a story of struggle, learning and great reward. It is also a story of sacrifice, change and adaptation. Don't let history hold you back. To anyone wanting to get ahead, find out what you love to do, figure out a way to make money doing it, and then do it all the time. You will be amazed at how much income you can have with this mindset. Once the income is rolling in, save 10% to 20% of your income, invest it wisely and you have a lot of money over time.
Friday, December 23, 2016
Annuity Vs Dividend Growth Portfolio
Monday, December 19, 2016
Westar Energy Sale Not In Best Interest Of Public, KCC staff says
Justin Grady, KCC staff, says the purchase price Great Plains has agreed to pay cannot be determined to be reasonable in light of the savings that can be demonstrated and it is not within a reasonable range.
Adam Gatewood of the KCC says the post-merger entity will be financially weaker than the existing stand-alone entities. He also asserts that the merger is not in the public interest because customers will be asked to pay rates that are in excess of the cost of providing services. Finally, the transaction weakens the commission’s ability to effectively regulate the post-merger entity.
McClanahan said the proposed transaction would leave ratepayers, the state, and even the post-transaction entity in a worse position moving forward. In fact, this transaction primarily promotes the interests of Westar’s shareholders – due to the overcompensation they will receive – to the detriment of the public interest.
McClanahan said staff cannot recommend approval of the merger even with conditions. Merger conditions cannot remedy several fundamental flaws within the transaction as proposed. These fundamental flaws are: The purchase price of $12.2 billion is too high because it results in Great Plains and its subsidiary Westar being in a significantly weaker financial position post-acquisition. Even though joint applicants assert they are not explicitly requesting recovery of the acquisition premium, ratepayers will inevitably pay this acquisition premium implicitly through financial engineering.
Joint applicants have failed to demonstrate that the transaction benefits customers through demonstrable and quantifiable savings which can be reasonably attributed to the acquisition, McClanahan said.
Joint applicants have failed to provide any certainty with regard to the continued financial health of the companies.
Great Plains Energy plans to acquire Westar Energy for about $12.2 billion. Westar shareholders will receive $60 per share -- $51.00 in cash and $9.00 in Great Plains Energy common stock. Upon closing, Westar will become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Great Plains Energy. On Sept. 26, 2016, the two companies announced that the shareholders of both companies voted to approve Great Plains Energy's acquisition of Westar Energy. The companies hope the acquisition will close in second quarter 2017.
The governing body for the Kansas Corporation Commission are three commissioners. They do not necessarily have to follow recommendation of the staff.
Friday, December 16, 2016
How To Play The Westar Energy Sale
Friday, December 9, 2016
Irwin Rosen: Scholar And Friend in Field of Psychiatry Dies
Wednesday, December 7, 2016
Panic Buying Drives Stock Market to New Highs
Panic buying is the the action of buying large quantities of stock due to sudden fears of a forthcoming price increase. Investors don’t want to be left behind so they are moving billions and billions of dollars into stocks. Several commentators on CNBC described Wednesday's stock surge as a "buying panic."
The businessman Donald Trump -- a true outsider who never before worked in Congress -- has cultivated a belief that he can improve the U.S. economy.
The inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States will take place on Jan. 20, 2017.
United Way of Greater Topeka Suffers $1.3 Million Operating Loss in 2014
The United Way's mission statement on its tax return says: "We create positive, sustainable change in our community. We work to solve issues no single donor, charity or government agency can handle alone. By focusing on education, financial stability, and health, we help more children graduate and get stable jobs, help families become financially stable and improve the overall health of our community."
I've heard plenty of United Way presentations over the years. After the change was made in recent years, I heard a presentation that sounded nebulous. The presenters could hardly make sense of it, let alone the people they were trying to convince.
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
How To Pay Down Student Debt Fast
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
Why Berkshire Hathaway Stock Is Going Higher
The company gets most of its earnings from its non-financial businesses.
The stock has 17% upside if the market realizes it's erred in valuing the company.
Monday, November 7, 2016
Kansas Trader Profits From Day Trading In Union Pacific Stock
My Experiment With Day Trading
- I made four day trades with Union Pacific yielding $811.83.
- Union Pacific's bottom is around $88 per share.
- Jesse Livermore loved trading UNP.
I have been a long-term investor for 23 years. I stayed away from day trading because of its higher risk/reward potential. I was conservative, I bought solid companies like Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B), Union Pacific (UNP) and Church & Dwight (CHD) and held on through good times and bad times. I was rewarded for being patient.
However, I have always been intrigued by day trading after reading an article about a trader in The Omaha World-Herald by my friend Jim Rasmussen. The story, published in the 1990s, focused on a rock musician who played in bands at night and worked as a day trader during the day. The trader made and lost thousands, but generally made money. At one point, he was up over $60,000 and decided to cash out and pay off his mortgage.
Photo by Michael Hooper
I spent several months studying trading techniques. I talked to my broker about the requirements at Charles Schwab. I was told I need a minimum $25,000 in my account to do day trading.
After Union Pacific's third quarter earnings came out, the stock fell from $93 per share to $88 per share. I've owned UNP for many years and know the company well. I like the stock because I feel the downside is minimal at this point. The company is strong financially and its volumes have improved in recent weeks. I feel there is a bottom around $88 per share.
In the third quarter, UNP offset the loss of coal volumes with gains in productivity and pricing. Union Pacific's total traffic was down 2% in Week 43 with 171,009 carloadings. This beats trends early in the year when Union Pacific volumes were falling 9% to 10%. Farmers raised another big crop this year. Grain volumes were up 20% for Union Pacific in Week 43, up 21% fourth quarter to date and up 10% year to date, to 301,108 carloads.
The Big Trade
On Oct. 31, I decided to buy 4,000 UNP shares at $88.6582 per share. I am looking for $0.07 to $0.09 profit per share. Nine cents would yield $360.00 profit. When I placed my first trade, my heart started racing; I was filled with fear and excitement. The stock immediately fell and I was down $900. Yikes. I held on. The stock returned to the $88.60s and then ran into the $88.70s and I sold at $88.7448, for a profit of $320.76 after commissions.
I did a similar trade three more times this week, always in the morning, when there are a lot of bulls and bears chasing this stock. The stock moves quickly up and down. I have to stay in front of the trade or I will lose. I avoided trades late in the day in case there was not enough time for the stock to move. I made $94.36 on my second trade. I made $334.35 on my third trade.
The range in Union Pacific is staggering. In the first hour of trading Friday, the stock opened at $88.70 but quickly fell to $88.38, then reversed course and climbed all the way to $89.23 before pulling back. All I need is $0.09, and I'm good. I bought 4,000 shares at $88.78 and then quickly sold at $88.802. I made $62.36 after commissions. I should have held on a little longer.
Each time, I held the stock less than 20 minutes, sometimes only a few minutes.
I made a total of $811.83 in profit. I will have to pay taxes on short-term gains, which will likely be around 30%, which would reduce my profit to around $568.28.
What's interesting is that while I did these trades four times in five days, these trades could have been duplicated multiple times each day. My first trade could have been duplicated three times in the same day, I only participated in the trade once that day. My friend Chris Wright, a Topeka businessman, said the real challenge for any investor is holding onto a profit. Too often we quickly gamble it away. So after each profitable trade, I walked away. I had no losing trades, although I was prepared to sell out and cut my losses to -$1,000 if I had to.
Jesse Livermore, the famous trader behind the book, "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator," also traded heavily in Union Pacific in the early 1900s, he bought and sold thousands of shares of UNP. He was actually alive and working when The Chicago Cubs won the World Series in 1908. Livermore gambled big and became a millionaire but lost his fortune near the end of his life. I don't want to become the next Jesse Livermore, no way.
But his trading observations are useful. "It takes a man a long time to learn all the lessons of all his mistakes. They say there are two sides to everything. But there is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side," says page 36 of "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator."
Day trading is extremely stressful and not for the weak at heart. The best trader is a master of Intellect/Emotion, meaning the trader operates with a set of rules that works for him or her and sticks by them, regardless of emotion. I have a loss limit of $1,000. If a trade goes south, I will sell out and cut my losses. I think it is best to focus on one stock that you know very well. You understand the company, you can predict its earnings and you know when it is overvalued or undervalued.
I think it is possible to incorporate day trading into part of a much larger portfolio strategy, but I wouldn't recommend day trading for most investors. My default strategy is to remain invested in my core holdings of stocks, bonds and ETFs. I am overweight the S&P 500 because its performance beats most money managers. When I see a core holding like Union Pacific fall into a trading range, I might consider a possible day trade. If the market is ripe for a good trade, I will do it. But if conditions look sour, I'm staying away.
I like Schwab's StreetSmart Edge technology because it shows all the bids and asks with some market depth. This helps me get a feel for where the trades are going. When I place a trade I watch it like a hawk. I will not leave my desk until it is done. If the stock is volatile, it is possible to enter and exit my trades in less than 10 minutes. There is a lot of volatility in the market because of the presidential election. And volatility is good for traders.


